Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 89%

December 7.6%

November 3.6%

October 1.0%

$569,241 Vol.

Jan 31, 2027

October

$28,395 Vol.

November

$12,943 Vol.

December

$25,590 Vol.

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026

$400,057 Vol.

89%

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 89%

December 7.6%

November 3.6%

October 1.0%

$569,241 Vol.

Jan 31, 2027

October

$28,395 Vol.

November

$12,943 Vol.

December

$25,590 Vol.

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026

$400,057 Vol.

89%

Market Opened: Jul 8, 2026, 2:43 PM ET

Volume

$569,241

End Date

Jan 31, 2027

Market Opened

Jul 8, 2026, 2:43 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

Volume

$569,241

End Date

Jan 31, 2027

Market Opened

Jul 8, 2026, 2:43 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026" at 89%, followed by "December" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?" has generated $569.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?" is "No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "December" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $569.2K traded on “Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 89¢ for "No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026" in the "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 89% chance that "No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 89¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 11¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jan 31, 2027. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?" market has a growing discussion of 2 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Comments (2)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?"?

What are the current odds for "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?"?

How will "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?"?

What does a price of 89¢ for "No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026" mean?

When does the "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?"?

What is Polymarket?

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Comments (2)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?"?

What are the current odds for "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?"?

How will "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?"?

What does a price of 89¢ for "No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026" mean?

When does the "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?"?

What is Polymarket?