Recent diplomatic efforts to reach a final US-Iran nuclear agreement remain stalled amid disagreements over uranium enrichment and sanctions relief. Iranian officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian and security chief Mohsen Rezaei, have reiterated that enrichment is a sovereign right under the NPT and that no enriched material will leave the country, while demanding prior US sanctions waivers and asset releases. The United States, under President Trump, has pressed for zero or sharply reduced enrichment capacity, citing verification gaps reported by the IAEA following 2025-2026 military actions. A June 2026 memorandum opened the Strait of Hormuz and extended a ceasefire but deferred core nuclear issues to a 60-day window that expired without resolution. Traders are monitoring indirect mediation, including Pakistan’s involvement, alongside US midterm elections in early November as potential catalysts for renewed talks or shifts in leverage.
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