Oct 23, 2026
Breaking News
See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours
1
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?
0%
82%
2
OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?
99%
80%
3
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?
17%
58%
4
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?
72%
50%
5
Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?
100%
49%
6
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?
32%
38%
7
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
100%
35%
8
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?
14%
30%
9
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
17%
26%
10
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?
100%
21%
11
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?
23%
21%
12
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
8%
20%
13
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?
73%
20%
14
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
24%
18%
15
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
6%
18%
16
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
97%
16%
17
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?
16%
13%
18
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?
18%
13%
19
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026?
81%
11%
20
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?
16%
11%
21
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
36%
10%
22
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026?
1%
10%
23
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?
86%
10%
24
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
81%
9%
25
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?
70%
8%