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Breaking World News & Predictions

Oct 24, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

100%
40%
2
icon for Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?

69%
22%
3
icon for NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

18%
17%
4
icon for Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?

Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?

35%
15%
5
icon for Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

82%
15%
6
icon for Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?

Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?

10%
13%
7
icon for US imports Russian diesel by December 31?

US imports Russian diesel by December 31?

87%
12%
8
icon for Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?

20%
11%
9
icon for Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?

10%
11%
10
icon for Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?

25%
10%
11
icon for Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?

6%
9%
12
icon for Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?

Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?

35%
8%
13
icon for Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?

18%
8%
14
icon for Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?

31%
7%
15
icon for Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?

18%
7%
16
icon for Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

18%
6%
17
icon for Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?

Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?

77%
6%
18
icon for Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

23%
6%
19
icon for Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

28%
5%
20
icon for US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?

21%
5%
21
icon for Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?

3%
5%
22
icon for Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?

97%
4%

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