Breaking World News & Predictions
Oct 24, 2026
Breaking News
See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours
1

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
100%
40%
2

Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?
69%
22%
3

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
18%
17%
4

Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?
35%
15%
5

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
82%
15%
6


Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
10%
13%
7

US imports Russian diesel by December 31?
87%
12%
8

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?
20%
11%
9


Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
10%
11%
10


Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
25%
10%
11

Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
6%
9%
12

Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?
35%
8%
13

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?
18%
8%
14

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?
31%
7%
15

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
18%
7%
16


Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
18%
6%
17

Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
77%
6%
18


Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
23%
6%
19

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
28%
5%
20

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
21%
5%
21

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
3%
5%
22

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
97%
4%