Breaking Tech News & Predictions
Oct 24, 2026
Breaking News
See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours
1

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?
0%
82%
2

OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?
100%
81%
3

Will there be at least 4900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
9%
52%
4

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?
61%
40%
5


Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?
19%
38%
6

Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?
57%
36%
7


Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
44%
22%
8

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?
23%
19%
9

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?
57%
14%
10


Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?
71%
11%
11

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?
54%
10%
12

Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?
31%
10%
13

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 23, 2026?
0%
9%
14

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
60%
8%
15

Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?
98%
7%
16

Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by December 31, 2026?
13%
4%
17

Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?
25%
1%