US-mediated diplomatic efforts have intensified with the October 21 meeting between President Putin and envoy Steve Witkoff, yielding Russia's in-principle agreement to resume trilateral technical talks with Ukraine and the United States after November 10, potentially in Abu Dhabi, centered on post-conflict security arrangements rather than an interim halt in fighting. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has signaled readiness for early November discussions and openness to freezing lines of contact with security guarantees. Both sides continue strikes, including recent Russian ballistic missile attacks on Kyiv, while territorial demands—particularly Russian control of Donbas and Ukrainian NATO accession—remain unresolved obstacles. These developments shape trader assessments of near-term ceasefire prospects amid persistent battlefield activity and negotiation timelines.
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