Gadi Eisenkot leads the market for receiving the first presidential mandate after Israel's October 27 election because his Yashar party consistently tops recent polls with roughly 22–23 seats, outpacing Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud. Neither the pro-Netanyahu bloc nor the opposition currently projects a 61-seat majority, leaving coalition negotiations decisive once results are finalized. Eisenkot has explicitly ruled out serving under or rotating with Netanyahu, narrowing potential partnerships while highlighting the challenge of assembling support without Arab parties or defectors. Traders price in the president’s post-election consultations favoring the candidate best positioned to form a government amid this fragmentation, with outcomes hinging on small-party thresholds, surplus agreements, and any last-minute shifts before voting.