Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show neither Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc nor the main opposition grouping led by Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party reaching the 61 seats needed for a Knesset majority in the 120-seat parliament. Averages place the outgoing coalition parties near 50 seats and Zionist opposition lists around 52-56, with Arab parties projected to hold 14-16 seats and several smaller lists hovering near the 3.25% threshold. This fragmented outcome stems from entrenched divisions over coalition partners, including opposition reluctance to rely on Arab lists and Haredi parties' stance on conscription. Traders therefore assign high probability to no bloc securing a governing majority on election night.