Xavier Becerra holds a commanding position in the 2026 California governor race due to his plurality win in the June top-two primary, followed by consistent double-digit polling leads over Republican Steve Hilton in a state where Democrats have won every gubernatorial contest since 2006. As the former state attorney general and U.S. health secretary, Becerra benefits from strong Democratic fundraising, independent support, and voter priorities on the economy and housing that align with his platform. Hilton, endorsed by President Trump, has focused on taxes and regulations but trails by 25 points or more in recent surveys with just days until the November 3 general election. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or sharp turnout shifts could still narrow the gap, though the current margin leaves limited room for movement.