Recent polling averages place Vox at approximately 18.8% ahead of the November 29 snap election, supporting trader emphasis on the 18-20% range. The party has gained roughly six points since its 12.4% result in 2023, drawing support amid a broader right-wing shift as the PP leads but requires Vox to reach a congressional majority. Consistent mid-October surveys from multiple firms show limited movement in Vox's standing, with the snap call—triggered by the collapse of housing legislation—amplifying focus on immigration, regional alliances, and coalition negotiations. Upcoming campaign events and any late shifts in turnout among conservative voters remain key variables within the resolution window.