Recent polling averages place Together, the Bennett-Lapid alliance contesting the 27 October 2026 Knesset election, in the 12–14 seat range across multiple outlets, aligning with the market’s leading 14–16 outcome. The party’s position reflects steady but modest support within the broader opposition bloc alongside Yashar and Yisrael Beiteinu, tempered by competition for centrist and right-leaning voters and the 3.25% threshold’s impact on smaller lists. Latest surveys from 19–22 October show limited movement, with surplus-vote agreements and turnout coordination among opposition parties providing minor upside potential while bloc totals remain short of 61 seats. Traders appear to weigh these stable trends and the narrow resolution window against historical variability in final-week polling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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