Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit at roughly 7-9 Knesset seats heading into the October 27 election, keeping implied vote shares clustered tightly between the 4.5-5.5%, 5.5-6.5%, and 6.5-7.5% bins. Stable voter preferences across multiple survey houses, combined with the party’s consistent performance above the 3.25% threshold, have limited movement in recent weeks. A late-October exchange between Benjamin Netanyahu and Itamar Ben-Gvir over portfolio allocations introduced minor uncertainty about coalition dynamics but has not yet produced measurable shifts in support. With turnout patterns and minor vote transfers among right-wing lists still fluid, traders see limited separation among the leading outcomes until final results clarify the distribution.