Ashley Moody holds a clear edge in trader pricing for Miami-Dade County in the November 3 Florida U.S. Senate contest, reflecting her status as the Republican incumbent appointed in 2025 after Marco Rubio’s cabinet move, combined with strong primary performance and consistent statewide polling leads of 6–8 points. Recent surveys show Moody maintaining advantages among suburban, older, and higher-income voters even in Southeast Florida, while Angie Nixon, the Democratic nominee who upset better-funded rivals in the August primary, draws stronger support from urban, younger, Black, and Latino blocs that dominate the county. The market’s separation from Nixon’s 36% price underscores Miami-Dade’s evolving partisan mix and Moody’s fundraising and endorsement advantages heading into the final weeks.