**Republican incumbent Brian Jack holds a structural edge in Georgia's 3rd Congressional District, where recent polling and the district's partisan composition support trader expectations of an outright majority on November 3.** The latest survey (VoteNexus, early October) shows Jack at 50% to Democrat Maura Keller's 45% among likely voters, within the margin of error, narrowing from his 66-34% win in 2024. Georgia law requires a majority for an outright general-election victory, with a December 1 runoff otherwise. Expert ratings classify the seat as Solid/Safe Republican, reflecting its R+30 PVI and consistent GOP performance. With only two candidates on the ballot and five percent undecided, the remaining share is viewed as likely to favor the incumbent in this low-turnout environment, though a late surge in Democratic participation or turnout shifts could push the race below the threshold. No major campaign developments have altered the baseline since the primaries concluded.