Israel’s October 27 Knesset election, conducted under proportional representation, is expected to produce a fragmented result with neither Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud-led right-wing and Haredi bloc nor the opposition bloc anchored by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party projected to reach the 61 seats required for a majority. Recent polling averages place both blocs near 50–54 seats, leaving Arab lists such as the Joint List and Ra’am, along with smaller parties hovering near the 3.25 percent threshold, positioned to influence seat allocation and post-election negotiations. Coalition formation will hinge on which parties cross the threshold, potential support from outside the blocs, or a unity arrangement, with the president tasked to designate a formateur after results are certified in early November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved














Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions