The open Thunder Bay mayoral contest on October 26 follows incumbent Ken Boshcoff’s retirement announcement, creating a crowded field where no candidate holds a decisive edge. Trevor Giertuga’s modest market lead reflects his status as the sole sitting at-large councillor with long municipal experience, while Moe Comuzzi and Aldo Ruberto draw support from business and prior council backgrounds. Limited public polling, recent candidate forums on housing approvals, public safety, and economic development, plus advance voting underway, keep probabilities tightly clustered. Trader consensus treats the outcome as uncertain until final vote counts clarify which profile resonates most with local voters.