Republican nominee Alan Wilson holds a steady double-digit lead over Democrat Jermaine Johnson in recent polling averages for South Carolina’s open gubernatorial race, with surveys from mid-October showing Wilson ahead by roughly 10 points among likely voters. The state’s Republican tilt, Wilson’s profile as attorney general, and Johnson’s primary win as a state representative have kept the contest from tightening further despite early voting now underway ahead of the November 3 election. Trader pricing centers on a Republican margin of 10-15 points as the most probable outcome, consistent with the Cook Political Report’s safely Republican rating and the absence of major late shifts in public surveys or campaign events that would alter the current balance.