Recent polling for Serbia’s October 25 parliamentary election shows the Aleksandar Vučić-led United Serbia list and the student-backed opposition list trading narrow leads, with final surveys placing United Serbia between 42.7% and 47.4%. The tight spread, combined with 18% undecided voters in one survey and last-minute shifts common in Serbian contests, keeps the 45–50% and 40–45% bands as the clearest trader consensus. Campaign rallies drew large crowds for both sides in the final week, while the snap vote—called after Vučić resigned the presidency—has focused attention on turnout and whether smaller lists will clear the 3% threshold. These factors sustain the close market pricing ahead of Sunday’s results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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