Recent polls place the Student List near or slightly ahead of Aleksandar Vučić’s United Serbia list in Serbia’s October 25 snap parliamentary election, with NSPM showing 44.5% versus 42.7% among decided voters and Ipsos indicating the reverse at 40% versus 47.4%. The race remains tight because undecided voters exceed 18%, turnout expectations near 80% could mobilize differing blocs, and the Student List’s support stems from sustained anti-corruption protests triggered by the 2024 Novi Sad station collapse. A large Belgrade rally of roughly 150,000 supporters shortly before voting has sustained momentum for the movement, while Vučić’s long incumbency and institutional reach continue to anchor his coalition. Late shifts in participation among younger or previously abstaining voters, or any final campaign developments, could widen the gap between the two leading lists.
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