Incumbent Democrat Sharice Davids faces Republican Eric Jenkins in the November 3 general election for Kansas’s 3rd congressional district, a D+2 PVI seat that includes much of the Kansas City metro area. Davids secured her party’s nomination with over 83% in the August 4 primary, while Jenkins won the Republican primary with nearly 79%. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Likely Democratic, with forecasts projecting Davids at roughly 60% of the vote. Trader pricing reflects a closely contested margin outlook, with the largest probabilities clustered in the 10-25 point Democratic range. Limited recent polling and the district’s mixed suburban-rural composition sustain uncertainty around the final spread despite the incumbent’s established position.