Recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27 Knesset election show neither Prime Minister Netanyahu’s right-wing and religious bloc—centered on Likud, Shas, United Torah Judaism, Otzma Yehudit, and Religious Zionism—nor the opposing change bloc led by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party, alongside B’Yachad, the Democrats, and Yisrael Beytenu, reaching the 61 seats needed for a majority in the 120-seat parliament. Arab parties such as the Joint List and Ra’am are projected to hold 14–16 seats but face exclusion from most coalition scenarios due to prior pledges. With roughly 30 percent of voters undecided and several small lists below the 3.25 percent threshold, the proportional representation system points to extended coalition negotiations or repeat elections in 2027, sustaining high uncertainty over which parties ultimately enter government.
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