Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

Which coalition will form the next Swedish government? — Discussion

manlets · 2026-09-14T14:50:40.000Z

Discussion about Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?. Traders share insights and predictions on Polymarket.

S + MP 20%

S + MP + C + V 18%

S 15%

M + KD + L + C 11.6%

$126,127 Vol.

Jul 31, 2027

S + MP

$14,820 Vol.

20%

S + MP + C + V

$20,602 Vol.

18%

$14,052 Vol.

15%

M + KD + L + C

$12,307 Vol.

12%

S + MP + C

$10,841 Vol.

10%

M + KD + L + SD

$10,645 Vol.

10%

M + KD + L

$6,412 Vol.

S + MP + V

$6,154 Vol.

Other

$4,301 Vol.

S + C

$3,996 Vol.

S + MP + C + KD

$4,446 Vol.

S + MP + C + L

$3,163 Vol.

S + MP 20%

S + MP + C + V 18%

S 15%

M + KD + L + C 11.6%

$126,127 Vol.

Jul 31, 2027

S + MP

$14,820 Vol.

20%

S + MP + C + V

$20,602 Vol.

18%

$14,052 Vol.

15%

M + KD + L + C

$12,307 Vol.

12%

S + MP + C

$10,841 Vol.

10%

M + KD + L + SD

$10,645 Vol.

10%

M + KD + L

$6,412 Vol.

S + MP + V

$6,154 Vol.

Other

$4,301 Vol.

S + C

$3,996 Vol.

S + MP + C + KD

$4,446 Vol.

S + MP + C + L

$3,163 Vol.

S + M

$2,504 Vol.

M + KD + SD

$2,794 Vol.

<1%

S + C + L

$2,257 Vol.

<1%

M + KD

$1,986 Vol.

<1%

$3,121 Vol.

<1%

S + C + V

$298 Vol.

<1%

S + V

$527 Vol.

<1%

S + MP + L

$518 Vol.

<1%

M + SD

$384 Vol.

<1%

Market Opened: Sep 14, 2026, 10:50 AM ET

Volume

$126,127

End Date

Jul 31, 2027

Market Opened

Sep 14, 2026, 10:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

Volume

$126,127

End Date

Jul 31, 2027

Market Opened

Sep 14, 2026, 10:50 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "S + MP" at 21%, followed by "S + MP + C + V" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?" has generated $126.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?" is "S + MP" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "S + MP + C + V" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $126.1K traded on “Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 21¢ for "S + MP" in the "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 21% chance that "S + MP" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 21¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 79¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jul 31, 2027. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?" market has an active community of 14 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Comments (14)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?"?

What are the current odds for "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?"?

How will "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?"?

What does a price of 21¢ for "S + MP" mean?

When does the "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?"?

What is Polymarket?

Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Comments (14)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?"?

What are the current odds for "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?"?

How will "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?"?

What does a price of 21¢ for "S + MP" mean?

When does the "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?"?

What is Polymarket?