The snap parliamentary election on October 25 pits Aleksandar Vučić’s United Serbia list against the Student List in a tight contest, with recent polls showing the two within a few points of each other and producing sharply divergent results depending on the pollster. This competitiveness and lack of reliable independent surveys underpin the 50% trader consensus on another list securing the largest vote share, alongside modest probabilities for double-digit or narrower margins between the frontrunners. A final opposition rally drawing around 150,000 in Belgrade highlighted mobilization efforts tied to two years of anti-corruption protests, while campaign-period concerns over media access, administrative resources, and voter register integrity have added to uncertainty ahead of the proportional national vote.