Incumbent Democrat Ben Ray Luján maintains a steady lead over Republican Larry Marker in New Mexico’s Class 2 Senate race, with the most recent October polling showing 53 percent support for Luján against 37 percent for Marker. New Mexico’s consistent Democratic tilt, Luján’s incumbency and fundraising edge, and limited name recognition for the challenger have kept the contest low-profile and stable through the final weeks. Recent surveys from Research & Polling and SurveyUSA confirm a 15-to-17-point advantage that has shown little movement since August, aligning with the market’s concentration on Democratic margins in the mid-teens to low twenties. With early voting underway and Election Day on November 3, further separation would require unexpected shifts in turnout among independents or late developments in a race rated Solid Democratic by most forecasters.