Recent polling averages place Yisrael Beiteinu near eight Knesset seats, or roughly 6-7 percent of the vote, as the party competes for secular right-leaning voters alongside larger opposition lists ahead of the October 27 election. Avigdor Lieberman’s consistent emphasis on universal conscription, opposition to serving under an indicted prime minister, and rejection of minority-government arrangements has stabilized support among Russian-speaking and secular constituencies while limiting gains from shifts toward Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar or Naftali Bennett’s Together. Minor week-to-week fluctuations in surveys reflect turnout uncertainty in key demographics and competition within the fragmented anti-Netanyahu bloc rather than major structural changes. Final campaign events, last-minute endorsements, or differential mobilization among immigrant communities could still shift the outcome within the narrow 5-8 percent band.
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