**Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna faces Democrat Leela Gray in Florida’s 13th congressional district, a seat rated Lean Republican with an R+5 partisan lean.** Luna’s prior victories by roughly 9 points provide structural support, yet polling averages show a narrow contest with Gray occasionally leading in Democratic surveys and Luna ahead in others. Limited recent polling, combined with a national environment favoring Democrats on the generic ballot, keeps the race tight as the November 3 general election approaches. The independent candidate adds a potential vote-split factor. Trader pricing across small Republican and Democratic margin brackets reflects this uncertainty, with separation likely hinging on final turnout among independents and Republicans, any late campaign spending surges, or shifts in national sentiment over the next two weeks.