Zohran Mamdani took office as New York City mayor on January 1, 2026, after winning the 2025 Democratic primary and general election with 50.8 percent of the vote against independent Andrew Cuomo. His four-year term runs through 2030, and removal requires either gubernatorial action after due process for misconduct or a complex city charter process involving the Inability Committee and a two-thirds City Council vote. Nine months into the term, Mamdani has advanced budget measures to close a deficit, expanded affordable housing and transit initiatives, and maintained public engagement without triggering formal removal proceedings or widespread calls for resignation. Trader consensus at 97.5 percent against an early exit reflects these structural protections and the absence of acute political or legal catalysts. Rare scenarios that could still shift odds include a major verified scandal prompting voluntary resignation, serious health incapacity, or unexpected gubernatorial intervention backed by strong evidence of misconduct.