**US-Colombia security cooperation has intensified under President Abelardo de la Espriella since his August 2026 inauguration, with the new right-wing government aligning closely with the Trump administration on counter-narcotics.** This includes requests for US aircraft, drones, radar, and joint planning against armed groups and trafficking networks, alongside US troop deployments for training and exercises in Colombia and neighboring countries. Colombian forces have conducted multiple airstrikes on ELN and FARC dissident camps, often with US intelligence support, while US operations like Southern Lance have focused on international waters rather than Colombian territory. These developments reflect mutual partnership instead of unilateral US action, keeping trader-implied probabilities for a qualifying US strike on Colombian soil by late 2026 or early 2027 in the low-to-mid 20% range for nearer deadlines. Continued alignment and joint efforts could further reduce near-term odds absent major escalations in drug-related threats.