balthazar

Joined Jan 2025·37.1K views

$444.4K

Positions Value

$107.5K

Biggest Win

88,872

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$1.2M
Total Volume: 77M

Profit/Loss

$2,117.41

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 81.8¢

63,660.6 shares

81.8¢

75.8¢

$48,222.93-$3,855.76 (-7.4%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 81.8¢

63,660.6 shares

$48,222.93-$3,855.76 (-7.4%)

Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 95.1¢

27,345.6 shares

95.1¢

97.6¢

$26,689.30$690.02 (2.65%)

Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 95.1¢

27,345.6 shares

$26,689.30$690.02 (2.65%)

Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 85¢

29,622.6 shares

85¢

85.5¢

$25,327.30$147.82 (0.59%)

Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 85¢

29,622.6 shares

$25,327.30$147.82 (0.59%)

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 81.3¢

29,801.9 shares

81.3¢

84.8¢

$25,257.11$1,038.30 (4.29%)

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 81.3¢

29,801.9 shares

$25,257.11$1,038.30 (4.29%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Yes 13.5¢

72,771.3 shares

13.5¢

20.5¢

$14,918.12$5,125.20 (52.34%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Yes 13.5¢

72,771.3 shares

$14,918.12$5,125.20 (52.34%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 81.1¢

15,508.3 shares

81.1¢

77.5¢

$12,018.95-$563.88 (-4.48%)

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 81.1¢

15,508.3 shares

$12,018.95-$563.88 (-4.48%)

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Yes 71.8¢

11,834.2 shares

71.8¢

84¢

$9,940.75$1,440.24 (16.94%)

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Yes 71.8¢

11,834.2 shares

$9,940.75$1,440.24 (16.94%)

Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 32.8¢

29,620.9 shares

32.8¢

27¢

$7,997.64-$1,711.29 (-17.63%)

Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 32.8¢

29,620.9 shares

$7,997.64-$1,711.29 (-17.63%)

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Yes 70.8¢

9,384.3 shares

70.8¢

74.5¢

$6,991.31$348.25 (5.24%)

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Yes 70.8¢

9,384.3 shares

$6,991.31$348.25 (5.24%)

Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 85¢

7,620.4 shares

85¢

89.5¢

$6,820.22$341.62 (5.27%)

Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 85¢

7,620.4 shares

$6,820.22$341.62 (5.27%)

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 7.7¢

8,414.1 shares

7.7¢

76.4¢

$6,424.20$5,772.99 (886.51%)

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 7.7¢

8,414.1 shares

$6,424.20$5,772.99 (886.51%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

No 81.9¢

6,498.9 shares

81.9¢

97.6¢

$6,339.69$1,017.13 (19.11%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

No 81.9¢

6,498.9 shares

$6,339.69$1,017.13 (19.11%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 76.4¢

8,123.5 shares

76.4¢

76.5¢

$6,214.49$6.09 (0.1%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 76.4¢

8,123.5 shares

$6,214.49$6.09 (0.1%)

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Yes 86.9¢

6,789.4 shares

86.9¢

91.3¢

$6,195.29$297.83 (5.05%)

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Yes 86.9¢

6,789.4 shares

$6,195.29$297.83 (5.05%)

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Yes 85.8¢

6,178.7 shares

85.8¢

99.3¢

$6,132.37$830.75 (15.67%)

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Yes 85.8¢

6,178.7 shares

$6,132.37$830.75 (15.67%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

Yes 64.3¢

6,265.5 shares

64.3¢

96.9¢

$6,071.29$2,043.05 (50.72%)

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?

Yes 64.3¢

6,265.5 shares

$6,071.29$2,043.05 (50.72%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 34¢

7,900.3 shares

34¢

71.5¢

$5,648.69$2,963.43 (110.36%)

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

Yes 34¢

7,900.3 shares

$5,648.69$2,963.43 (110.36%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 57.3¢

5,831.1 shares

57.3¢

92.5¢

$5,393.80$2,049.97 (61.31%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 57.3¢

5,831.1 shares

$5,393.80$2,049.97 (61.31%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 71.2¢

4,617.1 shares

71.2¢

92.5¢

$4,270.78$985.67 (30%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 71.2¢

4,617.1 shares

$4,270.78$985.67 (30%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?

No 75.9¢

4,070.4 shares

75.9¢

97.7¢

$3,976.76$886.86 (28.7%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?

No 75.9¢

4,070.4 shares

$3,976.76$886.86 (28.7%)