Google's dominant 79.5% market-implied odds reflect Sora 2's full shutdown in September 2026, which eliminated OpenAI as a viable contender after its consumer app closed earlier in the year. Veo 3.1 remains actively deployed across Gemini, Flow, Vertex AI, and the Gemini API, delivering native audio, up to 4K resolution, reference-image support, and strong prompt adherence for short cinematic clips. Recent blind-vote arenas show Google's Gemini Omni 1.1 Flash (its designated successor) leading or near the top, while Chinese models such as Kling, ByteDance Seedance, and MiniMax variants trail in Western trader assessments despite competitive lengths and multi-shot features. With resolution scheduled for end of October and only days remaining before Veo preview deprecation on October 22, traders appear to view Google's integrated ecosystem and recent model stability as decisive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved


















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