The closely contested U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by multiple forecasters, is sustaining high engagement ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent polls show the candidates separated by just a few points amid ranked-choice voting, with three Republicans and one Democrat on the ballot after the August top-four primary. National attention, including a Trump rally and the October 15 debate, plus the start of early in-person voting on October 19, are supporting expectations for turnout near recent cycles. Further separation could emerge from final early voting reports, election-day weather, or shifts in get-out-the-vote intensity in the remaining weeks.
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