Traders price a House impeachment of President Trump by December 31, 2027, at 64 percent, reflecting expectations that Democrats will gain House control in the November 3, 2026, midterms and advance articles of impeachment thereafter. Recent polling shows Trump’s approval at a record low of 31 percent, with 54 percent of Americans viewing his actions as warranting impeachment proceedings, particularly on issues of financial benefit and immigration enforcement. A Democratic House majority would enable committee investigations and a floor vote on articles, consistent with the simple-majority threshold, though Senate conviction requires a two-thirds supermajority unlikely without Republican crossover support. Trump has publicly linked potential impeachment to midterm losses, and prior resolutions introduced in the current Congress were tabled. The lower 2 percent probability for impeachment by year-end 2026 aligns with the limited remaining legislative calendar before the new Congress convenes.