The DOGE-1 lunar CubeSat's repeated schedule slips, including the missed September 2026 target window, have anchored trader sentiment toward a 2027 launch on the Intuitive Machines IM-3 rideshare. Five years of delays since the 2021 Dogecoin-funded booking, combined with SpaceX's shifting manifest priorities and noncommittal updates from Elon Musk, have eroded near-term momentum. Recent mission pages and partner statements now emphasize a broader 2026–2027 window with Q1 2027 as the next realistic slot, while historical patterns of payload queuing reinforce the market's low implied probability for resolution before year-end. Key upcoming catalysts include any official IM-3 T-0 confirmation or Falcon 9 manifest updates that could shift the narrative.