Recent polling trends show Democrats maintaining a modest edge among women 65 and older on the generic congressional ballot, driven by voter priorities around Social Security solvency, Medicare prescription drug negotiation, and healthcare affordability. AARP surveys of likely voters in competitive districts highlight these issues as top motivators for the 50-plus cohort, with broad support for protecting earned benefits and expanding cost controls—positions that align more closely with Democratic messaging in current cycles. The 93.5% trader consensus on a Democratic win among older women reflects this pattern in crosstabs from multiple generic ballot polls, alongside the established gender gap favoring Democrats among women overall. Republicans retain strength among older men and on issues like inflation or immigration, so a late surge in economic optimism or higher conservative turnout could narrow or reverse the margin in exit polls.
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