Recent data show Miami-Dade single-family median sale prices near $690,000–$692,000 through September 2026, up 3–4% year-over-year, while broader residential medians (including condos) range $565,000–$595,000 with Zillow ZHVI at approximately $584,000. Elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 7.4% have constrained financed demand and contributed to a buyer-leaning environment in some segments, evidenced by 48–100 days on market and price reductions. Tight inventory, especially below $750,000, and robust luxury cash transactions provide upward support, yet condo softness and affordability pressures create offsetting effects. With roughly two months until year-end, the clustered probabilities around $788K–$851K reflect uncertainty over whether single-family gains will lift the overall median enough to offset slower volume and high-rate headwinds.