Javier Milei’s fixed four-year constitutional term, ending in December 2027, underpins trader confidence that he will complete his mandate, reinforced by La Libertad Avanza’s strong midterm gains in October 2025 that expanded its congressional bloc and ability to sustain vetoes. Recent polling shows approval near 38 percent amid economic headwinds, including persistent inflation near 3 percent monthly and rising unemployment, yet these pressures have not produced viable removal mechanisms. A June 2026 cabinet chief resignation over corruption allegations highlighted governance strains without advancing impeachment proceedings, which require supermajorities the opposition lacks. Late developments such as a severe economic contraction, health crisis, or coordinated congressional action could still shift probabilities, though none appear imminent within the resolution window.