Trump’s Gold Card program, created by executive order in September 2025, offers expedited EB-1 or EB-2 green cards in exchange for a $1 million unrestricted gift plus a $15,000 processing fee. As of mid-2026, official and court filings show only one confirmed approval, roughly 59 petitions filed, and a few hundred requests despite earlier projections of tens of thousands of sales. A pending federal lawsuit challenging the program’s legal basis has not been resolved, while processing remains subject to standard visa backlogs and worldwide taxation applies to holders. These verified constraints on rollout and uptake have aligned trader consensus around minimal 2026 volume in the 1-100 range, with modest probability assigned to mid-thousands only if approvals accelerate sharply before year-end.