**Incumbent Peter Fiabáne holds a commanding position in the Žilina mayoral race, reflected in the 73.5% trader consensus for his victory.** As the sitting mayor seeking a third and final term as an independent backed by a broad center-right coalition including Progressive Slovakia, KDH, SaS, and Democrats, Fiabáne benefits from established visibility, a detailed program focused on affordable housing, transport, parking, safety, and public spaces, plus a coordinated slate of candidates for the city council. Recent consolidation of the opposition—most notably Bohumil Kostolný’s October 20 withdrawal in favor of Rastislav Johanes—has modestly improved Johanes’s standing to 18.5%, yet the three-day timeline to the October 24 vote leaves limited room for further shifts. Lower probabilities for Peter Cibulka at 8.5% and remaining candidates align with their narrower bases and lack of comparable institutional support.