FIFA's timeline for selecting the 2030 World Cup final venue, with no decision expected before 2028, underpins the leading 44.5% on Other/Unconfirmed by 2028. Among confirmed hosts Spain, Portugal, and Morocco, trader consensus favors Madrid at 25.5% due to the renovated Santiago Bernabéu’s infrastructure, event-hosting experience, and backing from the Spanish federation. Morocco’s push for a new 115,000-capacity Hassan II Stadium near Casablanca drives the 18% on a Moroccan city, supported by federation statements and construction progress, though FIFA has emphasized no early commitments. Barcelona’s Camp Nou and any Portuguese venue trail sharply at under 1%, reflecting renovation delays and lower priority in joint-bid dynamics.