Russian forces continue intense assaults on the Kostiantynivka axis in Donetsk Oblast, with Ukrainian reports documenting 33–37 repelled attacks in recent days near the city and surrounding settlements such as Novoselivka and Dobropillia. Russian advances rely on infiltration tactics supported by drones, artillery, and glide bombs, yet Ukrainian positions remain in the city center and eastern sectors, keeping overall control contested according to assessments from the Institute for the Study of War. The Royal Café Alex in the northwest serves as a specific resolution checkpoint on ISW maps, with trader probabilities reflecting incremental ground changes rather than official claims. No major territorial shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, though sustained pressure and any confirmed consolidation in the café’s vicinity could influence near-term odds.