**St. Clair’s active lawsuit seeking sole custody of son Romulus, combined with the ongoing contentious proceedings, underpins traders’ overwhelming 97.3% “No” consensus that Musk will not obtain full custody.** Recent coverage of the Alex Gibney documentary *Musk* highlights financial disputes and public allegations but shows no court developments favoring Musk’s sole control, consistent with typical family-court patterns that rarely award one parent exclusive rights absent clear evidence of the other’s unfitness. Musk’s extensive business and public commitments, plus his other children, further reduce the likelihood of a full-custody outcome. Realistic upset scenarios remain limited to dramatic new evidence—such as verified safety concerns or a surprise settlement granting primary physical custody—though the current record and legal posture make such shifts improbable before resolution.