Senate inaction on the Sunshine Protection Act has anchored trader expectations against permanent daylight saving time in 2026. The House passed H.R. 139 by a 308-117 vote in July, sending the measure to the Senate Commerce Committee, yet Majority Leader John Thune has stated there is no clear path forward. Opposition from senators including Tom Cotton centers on safety concerns over darker winter mornings for commuters and schoolchildren in northern and rural states. Despite public pressure from President Trump, no Senate vote is scheduled before the scheduled return to standard time on November 1. This procedural stall and lack of consensus explain the strong market pricing against enactment this year.