Recent polls show New Zealand's major parties locked in a near tie ahead of the November 7 election, with National and Labour each around 28-30 percent support. This leaves the current National-ACT-New Zealand First coalition facing a competitive re-election bid against a potential Labour-Greens bloc, while the centrist Opportunity Party hovers near or above the five percent threshold and could act as kingmaker. Smaller parties including ACT, New Zealand First, the Greens, and Te Pāti Māori continue to poll in the single digits or low teens, underscoring the likelihood of post-election negotiations. Final results are due November 27, after which coalition talks are expected to determine the next government.