Recent polling for Victoria’s Legislative Council ahead of the 28 November election shows the Liberal–National Coalition positioned to secure the largest number of seats across the eight regions under the new voting rules that require voters to number at least five preferences. Roy Morgan’s October modelling projects the Coalition on 12 seats while Labor falls to 10 and One Nation to six, with the Greens rising to eight amid an even 18–18 bloc split and four seats still fluid. This distribution reflects sustained Coalition primary support near 25–30 percent in upper-house voting intention surveys, combined with preference patterns that favor established major parties over smaller ones in the proportional system. The outcome remains sensitive to final preference flows and turnout in regional and metropolitan areas.