Recent UK GDP data and institutional forecasts have anchored trader consensus around the 1-2% band for full-year 2026 growth. Strong quarterly prints—0.6% in Q1 and 0.5% in Q2—plus a 0.1% monthly gain in August that beat expectations have lifted projections, with the IMF raising its 2026 estimate to 1.3% (from 1.0% in July) and citing AI-related business investment in software, data centers, and professional services as key supports. Parallel forecasts from the IFS (1.4%), Crédit Agricole (1.4%), and MUFG (tracking 1.5%) cluster in the same range despite elevated energy prices and tighter financial conditions linked to the Middle East conflict. The upcoming Autumn Budget and Bank of England policy decisions remain near-term catalysts that could influence final readings.