Azerbaijan holds a commanding position in UEFA Nations League 2026-27 Group D2, leading with five points from three matches (one win, two draws) and a +1 goal difference after results including a 1-1 draw and 1-0 victory over Lithuania plus a 0-0 stalemate with Liechtenstein. Lithuania sits second on four points, while Liechtenstein trails with one point from two games. The remaining fixtures—Liechtenstein hosting Azerbaijan on November 13 and Lithuania facing Liechtenstein on November 16—favor the group leaders, whose stronger recent form, squad depth, and points buffer underpin the market's heavy weighting toward Azerbaijan as the likely group winner and promotion candidate to League C. Lithuania retains realistic upset potential if results align, but Liechtenstein faces steep barriers given its limited output.