France leads Group A1 with 10 points from four matches, three wins and a draw, and a +5 goal difference, ahead of Italy on seven points and Belgium on six. Their recent results, including victories over Belgium and Turkey plus a draw against Italy, have positioned them as the consensus favorite at 82% implied probability. Italy remains in contention at 17.5% with two remaining fixtures, including the November 12 clash against France, but trails in form and points. Belgium at 2% faces a tougher path after mixed results, while Turkey sits last with zero points. Upcoming matches against Turkey offer France favorable opportunities to extend their lead before the group concludes in mid-November.