Jozef Viskupič holds a commanding position in the Trnava Region governor race due to his incumbency since 2017 and a broad coalition backing from Progressive Slovakia, SaS, KDH, Demokrati, Hnutie Slovensko, Maďarské fórum, and OKS. A September AKO poll showed him at 51.8% among decided voters, far ahead of József Berényi at 18.1% and other challengers including Peter Hambálek. Traders price his lead at 93% because of documented progress on regional debt reduction, infrastructure projects, EU fund utilization, and positioning for upcoming nuclear plant development in Jaslovské Bohunice. With the October 24 vote just days away, the fragmented opposition and his strength across urban and educated voter groups reinforce the current consensus, though a surge in undecided voters or unusually high turnout in specific districts could narrow margins.