**Eva Nemčovská leads the Trnava mayoral market at around 60% as traders price in her position as sitting deputy mayor and the consolidation of support after Ľubica Horváthová withdrew on October 9 and endorsed her.** A late-September to early-October university poll showed a statistical tie between Nemčovská and Branislav Baroš at roughly 32% each, with other candidates trailing. The October 24 municipal election features five remaining contenders, including Baroš backed by KDH and Trnava pre každého, independent Andrea Čajková, and Martin Pullmann supported by a Smer-Hlas-SNS-Republika grouping. Nemčovská’s campaign transparency rating and continuity messaging on ongoing city projects have supported her edge in the final days before voters decide.