**New York bar disciplinary proceedings against Todd Blanche face extended procedural timelines that make formal disbarment or suspension before January 1, 2027 highly improbable.** Multiple ethics complaints, including a June 2026 filing by over 100 former judges and advocacy groups citing conflicts of interest, the Trump v. IRS settlement, and Epstein files handling, plus September updates on missed disclosure deadlines, have been referred to the First Department Grievance Committee. Federal judges have also directed findings to the bar. The Attorney Grievance Committee’s investigation, hearings, and potential court rulings typically span well beyond a single calendar year, consistent with historical patterns for complex attorney discipline cases. Trader consensus at 97.3% on “No” reflects this structural reality rather than an assessment of complaint merits. Late-year acceleration remains possible only through extraordinary administrative priority, which has not materialized in available records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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